@article{Van-KatwykFox-Kemper26,
author = {Peter {\it Van Katwyk} and Baylor {\underline{\textrm{Fox-Kemper}}} and Sophie Nowicki and H{\'e}l{\`e}ne Seroussi and Karianne J Bergen},
date-added = {2026-10-30 16:49:53 -0400},
date-modified = {2026-10-30 16:49:53 -0400},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
month = {October},
note = {Accepted},
title = {Emulator-expanded projections reveal structure in {Antarctic} sea level uncertainty},
year = {2026},
bdsk-url-1 = {https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-870}
}
@article{DongSun26,
abstract = {Marine heatwaves (MHWs) are devastating extreme ocean temperature events whose frequency and severity have surged under global warming, threatening marine ecosystems and fisheries. Yet, the fundamental mechanisms that control their intensity and persistence remain incompletely understood. Here, using a submesoscale-permitting global model simulation validated by long-term observational and reanalysis data, this study reveals a previously overlooked submesoscale feedback that exerts a critical control on MHW severity. It is demonstrated that the submesoscale-induced vertical heat flux suppresses the intensity and persistence of atmosphere-driven MHWs in winter via a negative feedback mechanism. Enhanced air-sea net heat flux strengthens stratification and shoals the mixed layer, weakening submesoscale vertical heat transport by 19.4\%, reducing MHW intensification by 18.1\%, and accelerating decay by 21.7\%. This missing regulatory mechanism indicates that models ignoring the submesoscale feedback likely overestimate MHW severity, with critical implications for future climate projections.},
author = {Jihai Dong and Wenjin Sun and Baylor {\underline{\textrm{Fox-Kemper}}} and Zhiyou Jing and Changming Dong},
date-added = {2026-10-27 21:49:28 -0400},
date-modified = {2026-10-27 22:02:48 -0400},
doi = {10.1126/sciadv.aei4624},
journal = {Science Advances},
month = {October},
number = {43},
pages = {eaei4624},
title = {Submesoscale feedback suppresses marine heatwaves},
url = {https://www.science.org/doi/abs/10.1126/sciadv.aei4624},
volume = {12},
year = {2026},
bdsk-url-1 = {https://www.science.org/doi/abs/10.1126/sciadv.aei4624},
bdsk-url-2 = {https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.aei4624}
}
@article{CaoJing26,
abstract = {Understanding oceanic transport and material fate has long relied on observations that primarily resolve mesoscale, largely geostrophic flows, leaving the role of submesoscale turbulence comparatively unobserved and poorly understood. Here, using new high-resolution drifter-cluster experiments with closest initial spacings below 1 km, we provide direct Lagrangian observations of how submesoscale turbulence modifies mesoscale eddy coherence and transport pathways. The clustered drifters resolve intense, transient ageostrophic motions that are fundamentally absent from geostrophic descriptions of eddy behavior. Analyzed in an eddy-centered reference frame, the observations reveal pronounced submesoscale-driven radial dispersion that facilitates substantial water-mass exchange between the eddy core and its periphery in both the mixed layer and the subsurface. Quantitative estimates indicate submesoscale horizontal diffusivity of O(10 to 100) m2/s and a nonlocal dispersion regime across submesoscales. These results challenge the traditional view of mesoscale eddies as coherent structures containing a persistent water mass, with broad implications for interpreting and predicting the transport and fate of tracers in the ocean.},
author = {Haijin Cao and Zhiyou Jing and Baylor {\underline{\textrm{Fox-Kemper}}} and Bo Qiu and Joseph H. Lacasce and Tong Yan},
date-added = {2026-10-27 21:48:23 -0400},
date-modified = {2026-10-27 22:02:38 -0400},
doi = {10.1126/sciadv.aef8067},
journal = {Science Advances},
month = {October},
number = {43},
pages = {eaef8067},
title = {Direct observations of submesoscale turbulence driving mesoscale eddy leakage},
url = {https://www.science.org/doi/abs/10.1126/sciadv.aef8067},
volume = {12},
year = {2026},
bdsk-url-1 = {https://www.science.org/doi/abs/10.1126/sciadv.aef8067},
bdsk-url-2 = {https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.aef8067}
}
@article{ThorneNicklas26,
author = {Peter W. Thorne and John M. {$\overline{\textrm{Nicklas}}$} and John J. Kennedy and Bruce Calvert and Baylor {\underline{\textrm{Fox-Kemper}}} and Mark T. Richardson and Adrian Simmons and Ed Hawkins and Robert Rohde and Kathryn Cowtan and Nerilie J. Abram and Axel Andersson and Simon Noone and Phillipe Marbaix and Nathan Lenssen and Dirk Olonscheck and Tristram Walsh and Stephen Outten and Ingo Bethke and Bjorn H. Samset and Chris Smith and Anna Pirani and Jan Fuglestvedt and Lavanya Rajamani and Richard A. Betts and Elizabeth C. Kent and Blair Trewin and Colin Morice and Tim Osborn and Samantha N Burgess and Oliver Geden and Andrew Parnell and Piers M. Forster and Chris Hewitt and Zeke Hausfather and Valerie Masson-Delmotte and Jochem Marotzke and Nathan Gillett and Sonia I. Seneviratne and Gavin A. Schmidt and Duo Chan and Stefan Br{\"o}nnimann and Andy Reisinger and Matthew Menne and Maisa Rojas Corradi and Christopher Kadow and Peter Huybers and David B. Stephenson and Emily Wallis and Joeri Rogelj and Andrew Schurer and Karen McKinnon and Panmao Zhai and Fatima Driouech and Wilfran Moufouma Okia and Saeed Vazifehkhah and Sophie Szopa and Christopher J. Merchant and Shoji Hirahara and Masayoshi Ishii and Francois A. Engelbrecht and Qingxiang Li and June-Yi Lee and Alex J. Cannon and C. Cassou and K. von Schuckmann and Amir H. Delju and Ellie Murtagh},
date-added = {2026-10-27 21:36:24 -0400},
date-modified = {2026-10-27 21:36:24 -0400},
doi = {10.5194/essd-2025-825},
month = {October},
note = {Accepted},
title = {How well can we quantify when 1.5$\,^{\circ}${C} of global warming has been exceeded?},
url = {https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2025-825},
year = {2026},
bdsk-url-1 = {https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2025-825}
}
@article{ZhengWenegrat26,
author = {Zhihua Zheng and Jacob O. Wenegrat and Baylor {\underline{\textrm{Fox-Kemper}}} and Tomas Chor and Genevieve Jay Brett},
date-added = {2026-10-22 13:23:57 -0400},
date-modified = {2026-10-22 13:23:57 -0400},
doi = {10.1029/2026JC024594},
journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research -- Oceans},
keywords = {vertical transport, submesoscale, turbulence, frontogenesis},
month = {October},
number = {10},
title = {Submesoscale Frontogenesis Drives Strong Finescale Tracer Subduction},
url = {https://doi.org/10.1029/2026JC024594},
volume = {131},
year = {2026},
bdsk-url-1 = {https://doi.org/10.22541/essoar.15003344/v1}
}
@article{AyoucheFox-Kemper26,
author = {Adam {$\overline{\textrm{Ayouche}}$} and Baylor {\underline{\textrm{Fox-Kemper}}} and Nathan Laxague and Nicholas Pizzo},
date-added = {2026-08-24 10:45:04 -0400},
date-modified = {2026-08-24 10:45:04 -0400},
doi = {10.5194/wes-2026-147},
journal = {Wind Energy Science (WES)},
month = {August},
title = {Sensitivity of Offshore Wind Farm Wakes and Ocean Coupling to Vertical Resolution in the Stable Marine Boundary Layer},
url = {https://doi.org/10.5194/wes-2026-147},
year = {2026},
bdsk-url-1 = {https://fox-kemper.com/pubs/pdfs/AyoucheFox-Kemper25a.pdf}
}
@article{HellFox-Kemper26,
author = {Momme Hell and Baylor {\underline{\textrm{Fox-Kemper}}} and Adam {$\overline{\textrm{Ayouche}}$}},
date-added = {2026-08-24 10:44:05 -0400},
date-modified = {2026-08-24 10:44:05 -0400},
doi = {10.22541/essoar.15007594/v1},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
month = {August},
note = {Submitted},
title = {Scale-Dependent, Episodic Pathways of Turbulent Air-Sea Kinetic Energy Transfer},
url = {https://doi.org/10.22541/essoar.15007594/v1},
year = {2026},
bdsk-url-1 = {https://doi.org/10.22541/essoar.15007594/v1}
}
@article{FeskeLillyFox-Kemper26,
author = {Joel $\overline{\rm Feske}$ and Johnathan Lilly and Baylor {\underline{\textrm{Fox-Kemper}}}},
date-added = {2026-08-24 10:43:57 -0400},
date-modified = {2026-11-09 11:39:57 -0500},
journal = {Journal of Physical Oceanography},
month = {June},
note = {Submitted},
title = {Fantastical Forces and Where to Find Them or: A Tensor Time Derivative for Geophysical Fluids in Deforming Coordinate Systems},
url = {http://fox-kemper.com/pubs/pdfs/FeskeLillyFox-Kemper26.pdf},
year = {2026},
bdsk-url-1 = {http://fox-kemper.com/pubs/pdfs/FeskeFox-KemperLilly26.pdf}
}
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